The game total of 34.5 points is the lowest ever in FBS conference championship game history with the previous low in the ACC title game in 2008 at 38.5 points. Iowa went 4-2 SU and 3-2-1 ATS versus common opponents but the average score was 15-13 and -87 yards per game. Against common opponents this season, Michigan went 6-0 straight up (SU) and 4-1-1 against the spread (ATS) outscoring those foes by an average score of 40-8 and +177 yards per game. That’s still not as strong as the Wolverines dominant defense that allows 247 yards per game and a nation-low 10.2 points per game. Iowa is being disrespected when you consider the Hawkeyes sport a top-5 defense in the country allowing just 279 yards per game and 12.3 points per game versus FBS opponents. Off their big rivalry win over Ohio State, the Wolverines (-21.5) are the biggest favorite in all the conference championship games with head coach Jim Harbaugh returning to the sidelines following a 3-game suspension. The Longhorns are even better over their last four games, and while this betting line has risen, it’s for a reason with strength to support Texas. Texas has also faced a top 10 schedule, and against six common Big 12 foes Texas is +110 yards per game and +12 points per game while Oklahoma State is +59 YPG/+5 PPG. Texas has the matchups to take advantage and incentive to pile on points to impress the CFP selection committee should Florida State lose later in the day.

Longhorns QB Quinn Ewers is hitting 70% of his passes and faces a pretty poor Cowboys pass defense. That’s Oklahoma State’s strength running the ball, but if the Cowboys (9-3) fall too far behind, they will have trouble with a sub-par passing attack going against a top-20 Longhorns pass defense that also has 15 interceptions this season. The matchups strongly support the Longhorns (11-1), who have a a top-5 run defense allowing just 85 rushing yards per game and 2.9 yards per rush vs. This is the Longhorns final game in the Big 12, as Texas departs for the SEC next season.

So opinions vary on the most selected game on Saturday. With 12 contestants left in the Circa Sports Friday Football Invitational and a $25,000 top prize, five picked Oklahoma State (+14.5) as one of their seven selections for the week, and four picked Texas (-14.5).

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